Three US states that were recognized as the winners of one party a few weeks ago could now change color in light of the latest polls on voting intentions in the 2024 presidential election.
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“The latest polls show us that the US presidential race is getting tighter,” says journalist and host Pierre-Olivier Zappa.
This is the least we can say because three states that “were not on our radar three weeks ago” are now locked in a heated battle, according to the latest opinion polls.
It turns out that Texas, Florida and Minnesota are now among the main states where presidential elections are being held.
While the journalist joked that Texas could change its mind several weeks ago, it is now possible that the state may change its stance.
“For the average person looking at us, we haven't experienced Texas democracy, at least I haven't, it goes back to the 1970s,” Mr. Zappa asserts.
Since George H.W. Bush, the 41st President of the United States from 1989 to 1993, this state has become a Republican “stronghold.”
“However, Kamala Harris comes within 5 percentage points of Donald Trump,” the analyst states. “So it's within his reach. Does that mean it will happen? There's a very slim chance.”
Latinos and African Americans in Texas are largely responsible for this new data. Kamala Harris will lead among these two groups by about 67%, while Donald Trump leads among white voters by 31 points.
Florida in the southern United States also remains close to the margin of error.
“It's a state where Donald Trump has his base, and he lives in Mar-a-Lago, so Florida voters were with him during the last election, but here we see it getting particularly tough because 15% of Florida's population is African American,” the journalist explains. .
But the battle is intensifying not only in the states that Republicans captured. This is also the case in Minnesota.
“Two, three weeks ago, we wouldn't be talking about this state because Tim Walz had just been chosen as the vice presidential nominee and he's the governor of Minnesota,” Mr. Zappa explains.
Donald Trump now finds himself five percentage points behind his opponent.
“There are between 5 and 10 percent undecided in Minnesota. He points out that if two-thirds of undecided voters decided to vote for Donald Trump, that would tip the scales and Donald Trump could win this state.”
Watch Pierre-Olivier Zappa's explanations in the video above
