We know that every vote counts in this battle for the American presidency, and now that independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. has withdrawn from the race, voters he would have succeeded in seducing will have to find a new challenger in the Democratic or Republican camp.
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The heir to the famous Kennedy family received nearly 10% of voting intentions last spring, but since Kamala Harris took Joe Biden's place as the Democratic nominee, that percentage has dropped by half.
But the latter decided to move away from the Democratic candidate, who is currently favored by the wind, to support Donald Trump.
Journalist and host Pierre-Olivier Zappa took part in an independent candidate vote split exercise to try to discover how RFK fils' withdrawal might affect voting intentions on November 5.
“marginal effect”
Although the redistribution of the few votes that Robert Kennedy Jr. could have received in the race would have “a marginal effect,” according to Mr. Zappa, the journalist points out that many White House struggles in recent years have ended in very close results.
“If we take the current election, we say that RFK had 5% of the voting intentions at the ballot box, if we divide that Speak almost“2% will go for Donald Trump, 1% will go for Kamala Harris, 2% won’t vote, well, that has a fairly marginal impact on public support for Donald Trump,” TVA Nouvelles’ main broadcast at 10 p.m. “On the other hand, sometimes that’s what gets you a state or a key state and gets you to the White House.”
In the last election, Joe Biden won the southern US state of Georgia by just 11,000 votes.
“It’s a small margin, we’re talking about a 0.2 percentage point lead for Joe Biden,” Mr. Zappa said. “That tells you that these are very close battles and that a handful of voters, a few thousand, sometimes make the difference.”
Moreover, Donald Trump tried to overturn the election result in this key state.
See all the examples in the video above.
