French presidential election: Macron will win in the second round against Le Pen

French presidential election: Macron will win in the second round against Le Pen

Outgoing French President Emmanuel Macron wins the second round of the presidential election over far-right candidate Marine Le Pen, with a score of between 54% and 51% against 46%-49%, according to opinion polls conducted on Sunday after the first. round.

• Read also: Presidency in France: Macron and Le Pen go to the second round

• Read also: Macron-Le Pen: a view of the world in opposites

• Read also: France: The traditional parties rolled from the left and the right after the first round

The result is thus much lower than it was five years ago when Emmanuel Macron won 66.1% of the vote to Ms Le Pen’s 33.9%.

Both qualified for the second round on Sunday, with about 28% of the vote for the incumbent president and about 23% for Marine Le Pen, according to estimates.

The smallest second-round result is 51%-49%, according to a survey by the Ifop-fiducial Institute for TF1/LCI/ParisMatch/SudRadio. Two other surveys give 54%-46%: the Ipsos Sopra-Steria FranceTv/RadioFrance/LeParisien/LCP/RFI poll and the OpinionWay for CNews/Europe1.

In detail, about a third (35%) of voters for right-wing candidate Valerie Pecres (Les Républicains-LR) would refer to Emmanuel Macron and just as much to Marine Le Pen, while the remaining 30% chose to vote for a blank, zero. Or abstain, according to Ifop.

For OpinionWay, 43% of LR voters would support the outgoing president, compared to 27% for the far-right candidate.

And the carryover of votes for radical leftist candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon – who came third in the second round according to the latest estimates – is also very scattered: 33% for Mr Macron, 23% for Ms Le Pen and 44% for white, he drew or abstained, according to Ifop. According to Opinionway, the proportion will be 27% for the outgoing president and 21% for Marine Le Pen.

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Three-quarters of voters for the far-right polemic Eric Zemmour say they want to vote for the National Rally candidate, compared to just 4% for the outgoing president, according to Ifop.

The Ifop poll was conducted on Sunday from 8:01 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. with a sample of 968 people registered on electoral rolls drawn from a sample of 1,004 people representing the French population aged 18 and over. The error rate was 3%.

This view was also carried out on Sunday with a sample of 1,739 people. Ipsos has a sample of 1,172 people.

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About the Author: Hermínio Guimarães

"Introvertido premiado. Viciado em mídia social sutilmente charmoso. Praticante de zumbis. Aficionado por música irritantemente humilde."

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